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Mundell–Fleming model - Wikipedia
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This will mean that domestic interest rates and GDP rise. However, this increase in the interest rates attracts foreign investors wishing to take advantage of the higher rates so they demand the domestic currency therefore it appreciates.
The strengthening of the currency will mean it is more expensive for domestic producers to export so net exports will decrease therefore cancelling out the rise in government spending and shifting the IS curve to the left.
Therefore, the rise in government spending will have no effect on the national GDP or interest rate. Changes in the global interest rate[ edit ] An increase in the global interest rate shifts the BoP curve upward and causes capital flows out of the local economy.
This depreciates the local currency and boosts net exports, shifting the IS curve to the right. Under less than perfect capital mobility, the depreciated exchange rate shifts the BoP curve somewhat back down. Under perfect capital mobility, the BoP curve is always horizontal at the level of the world interest rate. When the latter goes up, the BoP curve shifts upward by the same amount, and stays there.
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The exchange rate changes enough to shift the IS curve to the location where it crosses the new BoP curve at its intersection with the unchanged LM curve; now the domestic interest rate equals the new level of the global interest rate. A decrease in the global interest rate causes the reverse to occur. Under a fixed exchange rate regime[ edit ] In a system of fixed exchange rates, central banks announce an exchange rate the parity rate at which they are prepared to buy or sell any amount of domestic currency.
Thus net payments flows into or out of the country need not equal zero; the exchange rate e is exogenously given, while the variable BoP is endogenous.
Under the fixed exchange rate system, the central bank operates in the foreign exchange market to maintain a specific exchange rate. If there is pressure to devalue the domestic currency's exchange rate because the supply of domestic currency exceeds its demand in foreign exchange markets, the local authority buys domestic currency with foreign currency to decrease the domestic currency's supply in the foreign exchange market.
This keeps the domestic currency's exchange rate at its targeted level. If there is pressure to appreciate the domestic currency's exchange rate because the currency's demand exceeds its supply in the foreign exchange market, the local authority buys foreign currency with domestic currency to increase the domestic currency's supply in the foreign exchange market.
Again, this keeps the exchange rate at its targeted level. Changes in the money supply[ edit ] In the very short run the money supply is normally predetermined by the past history of international payments flows.
If the central bank is maintaining an exchange rate that is consistent with a balance of payments surplus, over time money will flow into the country and the money supply will rise and vice versa for a payments deficit. If the central bank were to conduct open market operations in the domestic bond market in order to offset these balance-of-payments-induced changes in the money supply — a process called sterilizationit would absorb newly arrived money by decreasing its holdings of domestic bonds or the opposite if money were flowing out of the country.
But under perfect capital mobility, any such sterilization would be met by further offsetting international flows. Changes in government expenditure[ edit ] An increase in government spending forces the monetary authority to supply the market with local currency to keep the exchange rate unchanged. Shown here is the case of perfect capital mobility, in which the BoP curve or, as denoted here, the FE curve is horizontal.
Increased government expenditure shifts the IS curve to the right. The shift results in an incipient rise in the interest rate, and hence upward pressure on the exchange rate value of the domestic currency as foreign funds start to flow in, attracted by the higher interest rate.
However, the exchange rate is controlled by the local monetary authority in the framework of a fixed exchange rate system. To maintain the exchange rate and eliminate pressure on it, the monetary authority purchases foreign currency using domestic funds in order to shift the LM curve to the right.
In the end, the interest rate stays the same but the general income in the economy increases. The reverse process applies when government expenditure decreases. Changes in the global interest rate[ edit ] To maintain the fixed exchange rate, the central bank must accommodate the capital flows in or out which are caused by a change of the global interest rate, in order to offset pressure on the exchange rate.
If the global interest rate increases, shifting the BoP curve upward, capital flows out to take advantage of the opportunity. This puts pressure on the home currency to depreciate, so the central bank must buy the home currency — that is, sell some of its foreign currency reserves — to accommodate this outflow. The decrease in the money supply resulting from the outflow, shifts the LM curve to the left until it intersect the IS and BoP curves at their intersection.